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Pronóstico: Pumas de la UNAM vs. Atlético San Luis - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Pumas de la UNAM vs. Atlético San Luis - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $779K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Pumas de la UNAM vs. Atlético San Luis - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5100%
Atlético San Luis O/U 0.5100%
Atlético San Luis O/U 1.5100%
Atlético San Luis O/U 2.5100%
Atlético San Luis 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Atlético San Luis 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Atlético San Luis 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 3.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)0%
Atlético San Luis (-1.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)0%
Atlético San Luis (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Atlético San Luis 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM (-3.5)0%
Atlético San Luis (-3.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM (-4.5)0%
Atlético San Luis (-4.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM (-5.5)0%
Atlético San Luis (-5.5)0%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 3.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 4.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 5.50%
Atlético San Luis O/U 3.50%
Atlético San Luis O/U 4.50%
Atlético San Luis O/U 5.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Atlético San Luis 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Atlético San Luis 1st Half O/U 3.50%
2nd Half O/U 4.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
Atlético San Luis 2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Atlético San Luis 2nd Half O/U 3.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Atlético San Luis 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Atlético San Luis 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half (-1.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half (-2.5)0%
Atlético San Luis 2nd Half (-1.5)0%
Atlético San Luis 2nd Half (-2.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: pumas de la unam vs. atlético san luis - more markets. More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for September 27 at 2:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Pumas de la UNAM vs. Atlético San Luis - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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