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Pronóstico: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

"Pronóstico: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Match Winner62%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

Pronóstico: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Movistar KOI and GAM Esports in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 15 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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