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Pronóstico: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Match Winner 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $597K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Match Winner66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Game 1 Winner60%
Game 2 Winner60%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?36%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for Pronóstico: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the matc…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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