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Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner 100% National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 75% Volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $411K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.575%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.575%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.570%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek9%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.51%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.51%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.50%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek. This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kosty…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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