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Pronóstico: Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina 100% Completed Match 100% Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 Winner 100% Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $381K Liquidity: $834K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina100%
Completed Match100%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 Winner100%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 Winner100%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Match O/U 21.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Match O/U 22.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Match O/U 23.50%
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: iasi open: paula badosa vs anhelina kalinina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Anhelina Kalinina in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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