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Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $829K Liquidity: $946K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)50%
Match Winner45%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Team Envy’s best-of-three against FURIA Esports in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha comes into the market with both sides already under pressure, which helps explain why the crowd has priced a strong lean to one side despite the title listing a 0% YES price. Recent match data shows Envy arriving off a run of heavy defeats, including 0-2 losses to MIBR and Evil Geniuses, while FURIA have also been struggling, with 0-2 defeats to NRG and a 1-2 loss to Leviatán among their latest results.[1][2][4][6]

The historical frame is thin but not neutral: Strafe says this is the first meeting between the teams, while KDA’s results page records a prior 2-1 win for Envy over FURIA in December 2025.[1][2] That split is enough to caution against reading a single head-to-head as decisive, but the more important market signal is current form. BO3’s reporting from the stage described both ENVY and FURIA as being “in trouble” after opening days, with Envy last in Alpha at 0-3 and FURIA also at 0-3, which is the kind of profile that often produces volatile pricing rather than a clean favourite.[7][10]

For traders, the main catalysts are whether the match starts on schedule and whether any late roster or broadcast changes surface before the session window closes; the listed start time is 5:00 PM ET, and the market only pays out 50-50 if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[2][4] The standing pages and tournament draw confirm both teams are still in Group Alpha, but no injury or suspension news is flagged in the available match listings, so any move is more likely to come from confirmed line-ups, schedule slips, or a match postponement than from personnel news.[11][12][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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