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Pronóstico: Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) 100% Volume: $388K Liquidity: $352K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games75%
Match Winner63%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)46%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)27%
Map 2 Winner15%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Karmine Corp (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Karmine Corp (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: valorant: nrg vs karmine corp (bo3) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between NRG and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 6 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG w…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Es… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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