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Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

"Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) 100% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $312K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)78%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)60%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.555%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.525%
O/U 2.5 Games18%
Map 2 Winner17%
Match Winner7%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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