Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 99% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-4.5) vs Contra (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-4.5) vs Contra (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BBB (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BBB (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: contra vs lyon (bo5) - vcl latin america north: playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between Contra and LYON in the VCL Latin America North: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:00PM ET. This ma…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO5) - VCL Lat… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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