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Pronóstico: Italy vs. Belgium - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Italy vs. Belgium - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Italy 0 - 2 Belgium 100% Italy 0 - 0 Belgium 0% Italy 0 - 1 Belgium 0% Italy 1 - 0 Belgium 0% Volume: $82K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Italy vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Italy 0 - 2 Belgium100%
Italy 0 - 0 Belgium0%
Italy 0 - 1 Belgium0%
Italy 1 - 0 Belgium0%
Italy 1 - 1 Belgium0%
Italy 2 - 0 Belgium0%
Italy 0 - 3 Belgium0%
Italy 1 - 2 Belgium0%
Italy 2 - 1 Belgium0%
Italy 3 - 0 Belgium0%
Italy 1 - 3 Belgium0%
Italy 2 - 2 Belgium0%
Italy 3 - 1 Belgium0%
Italy 2 - 3 Belgium0%
Italy 3 - 2 Belgium0%
Italy 3 - 3 Belgium0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: italy vs. belgium - exact score. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and Belgium, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Italy vs. Belgium match ori…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Italy vs. Belgium - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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