Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
Market context
FK Kudrivka’s meeting with FK Shakhtar Donetsk sits in a lopsided historical frame: Shakhtar won the first two league meetings, 4-0 in October 2025 and 3-1 in April 2026, so the market’s 0% YES price reflects a scoreline market that is only reachable if the exact result matches a listed outcome rather than a simple win/draw read. Recent comparable form also points away from an upset narrative: Kudrivka’s July warm-up results were mixed, including a 1-0 win over Obolon Kyiv but defeats to Kolos Kovalivka and Livyi Bereh Kyiv, while Shakhtar were coming off a strong run of competitive wins in late spring before their summer schedule began.[2][7][13]
For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups and any late absences in Shakhtar’s front line or midfield, because the exact-score market is most sensitive to whether the favourite can control tempo and convert early chances. The main schedule dependency is simple: the market stays live only until the match is completed on regulation time plus stoppage time, and any postponement keeps it open until the fixture is played, so final team news near kick-off matters more than pre-match probability snapshots.[5][10]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Ex… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →