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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

13% YES 87% NO Volume: $118K Liquidity: $99K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
Trade on PolyGram →
Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Fight won by submission?13% YES88% NO
O/U 0.5 Rounds82% Over19% Under
O/U 1.5 Rounds73% Over28% Under
Fight won by KO/TKO?46% YES55% NO
Pereira to win by KO/TKO?10% YES91% NO
Magomedov to win by KO/TKO?43% YES57% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: ufc fight night: michel pereira vs. shara magomedov (middleweight, main card) stands at 13% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Michel Pereira" if Michel Pereira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shara Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, schedul…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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