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Pronóstico: PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $169K Liquidity: $879K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5100%
Derry City FC O/U 0.5100%
Derry City FC O/U 1.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Derry City FC (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
Derry City FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Derry City FC O/U 2.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets. More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 9 at 2:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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