Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 0 Halmstads BK | 100% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 0 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 0 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 0 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 0 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 1 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 1 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 2 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 2 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF 3 - 3 Halmstads BK | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Djurgardens IF travel to face Halmstads BK in an Allsvenskan fixture on 13 July 2026, with the settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC that same day. The match kicks off at 13:00 ET, leaving a four-hour window for final score confirmation. This exact-score market currently shows 0% implied probability across all listed outcomes, suggesting either extreme uncertainty about the fixture or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds on specific scorelines.
Historically, exact-score markets in Swedish top-flight football reflect the volatility inherent in Allsvenskan's competitive structure. Djurgardens and Halmstad have produced mixed results in recent seasons, with neither club establishing dominance in head-to-head encounters. The 0% crowd probability indicates traders are either waiting for team news before committing capital or expect the "Any Other Score" catch-all to dominate settlement. Recent Allsvenskan seasons have seen scorelines cluster around 1–1, 2–1, and 2–0 outcomes, though this varies significantly based on home advantage and current form trajectories.
Traders should monitor squad announcements through early July, particularly regarding injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel at either club. Confirmation of starting lineups typically arrives 90 minutes before kickoff, which falls within the settlement window—a critical constraint for late-moving information. Weather conditions in Stockholm or Halmstad on match day can influence goal-scoring patterns. Any pre-match suspension announcements or late injury withdrawals will likely trigger movement in specific scoreline probabilities once the market gains trading activity.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK - Exact … on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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