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Pronóstico: Lausanne-Sport vs. Young Boys Bern

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Lausanne-Sport vs. Young Boys Bern" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Draw 100% Lausanne-Sport 0% Young Boys Bern 0% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $212K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Lausanne-Sport vs. Young Boys Bern

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
Lausanne-Sport0%
Young Boys Bern0%

Market context

Lausanne-Sport host Young Boys Bern in the Swiss Super League at Stade de la Tuilière, with the market trading at 0% YES despite this being a live league fixture rather than a hypothetical one. The gap between the sides is usually narrower than the price suggests: Young Boys have a strong overall head-to-head edge across the modern sample, but Lausanne have also taken points and even wins in recent meetings, including a 3-2 home victory in May 2025 and a 1-3 away win in January 2026.[16][10][4]

That makes this a better read on current team news than on name value. Head-to-head data show Young Boys have won 30 of 47 meetings since 2007, with Lausanne winning six and 11 drawn, while recent seasonal form has been tighter than the historical split, with Young Boys around the top end of the table and Lausanne in the pack rather than adrift.[16][8][7] For traders, the key move-makers are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or suspension omissions, and whether Lausanne can again exploit home conditions; the fixture is listed for 16:00 UTC at Stade de la Tuilière, so the market should react once team sheets land and any late squad changes are published.[5][3][1]

Current live score and line-up pages from SofaScore, Flashscore and BBC are the most relevant pre-match monitoring points because they update to the official team news feed and head-to-head context close to kick-off.[1][3][7] The most useful catalyst is whether Young Boys can field their first-choice attacking core, since their recent results have tended to convert into a stronger points return when the selection is intact, while Lausanne’s best recent outcomes have come when they have kept games low-scoring and efficient rather than open.[8][20]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "Pronóstico: Lausanne-Sport vs. Young Boys Bern".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Lausanne-Sport vs. Young Boys Bern. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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