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Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% Celtic FC O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC (-1.5)0%
Dundee FC (-1.5)0%
Celtic FC (-2.5)0%
Dundee FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC O/U 1.50%
Celtic FC O/U 2.50%
Dundee FC O/U 0.50%
Dundee FC O/U 1.50%
Dundee FC O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Dundee FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Dundee FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Dundee FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Dundee FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Celtic host Dundee FC with the market already pricing the “more markets” side at an extreme 0% YES, which is consistent with Celtic’s long-running edge in the fixture but not with a true certainty of a repeat outcome. Across the broader head-to-head, Celtic have dominated the series, with FootyStats showing 27 Celtic wins in the last 33 meetings, while AIScore’s recent sample still has Celtic winning 4 of the last 5. Dundee’s 2-0 win at Dens Park in the 2025 meeting was the outlier that matters most to traders because it broke Celtic’s 36-game unbeaten run against them and showed the gap can narrow when Celtic’s finishing or game-state management slips.[7][3][6]

That history suggests the line is most sensitive to team-news rather than reputation alone. Celtic’s recent results have been uneven by their standards, including a 2-0 defeat at Dundee United in March 2026 after a mixed run in March that also contained a draw with Rangers and narrow league wins, while Dundee have been competitive in several 2026 league games and have repeatedly found goals in open matches.[11] The main catalysts now are starting XI announcements, any late absences in Celtic’s defensive spine, and whether Dundee can field the same front-line that made the December upset credible; line movement will likely react first to confirmed injury and suspension information and only second to form narratives.[12][14]

For traders, the key read-through is simple: Celtic remain the stronger side by record and recent head-to-head, but Dundee’s recent upset means any confirmed shortage in Celtic’s back line, or a weakened attacking selection, could matter more than the raw historical split. If both sides are close to full strength, the probability should stay anchored by Celtic’s dominance in the fixture; if pre-match team news removes first-choice defenders or changes Celtic’s usual attacking structure, the “more markets” outcome becomes more plausible than the 0% crowd price implies.[5][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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