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Pronóstico: Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5) 100% Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $87K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)100%
Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-1.5)0%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 0.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 1.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 2.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Universitatea Craiova and Petrolul Ploieşti meet again in a fixture that has already tilted strongly one way in recent comparisons: Craiova won 4-0 at Petrolul in January 2026, and also beat them 2-0 at home in August 2025, while broader head-to-head records show Craiova with the clearer edge across the rivalry. [1][9][7] That matters for a “More Markets” market pinned at 100% YES, because the historical pattern points to Craiova controlling both the result and many of the secondary event markets when these sides meet, especially when the market is driven by shots, corners, cards or team totals rather than only the final score. [1][7][8]

The main catalysts are the final team news and any late changes to Craiova’s attacking spine, because the January meeting was decided early and then opened up further after half-time, which is the sort of game state that can inflate derivative markets quickly. [1][12] At the time of writing, the most concrete pre-match information available in the indexed results is the fixture listing itself, with Craiova at home at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco and the match set for 1 August at 18:30 UTC; if line-ups confirm a strong first XI, the market should keep reflecting Craiova’s superiority, but any rotation, injury omission or suspension in the host side would be the clearest reason for traders to reassess the price. [10][2][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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