Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| CS Huancayo O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CS Huancayo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Alianza Lima (-1.5) | 0% |
| CS Huancayo (-1.5) | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima (-2.5) | 0% |
| CS Huancayo (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Alianza Lima 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| CS Huancayo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Peru Liga 1 fixture Club Alianza Lima versus CS Huancayo concluded on 19 July with Alianza Lima securing a 2–1 victory, rendering any pre-match “more markets” betting on a Huancayo win or specific non-goal outcomes effectively void at the current 0% YES probability. This result aligns with their recent head-to-head trend, as Alianza Lima also defeated Huancayo 2–1 in their earlier 2026 encounter on 30 January, confirming a consistent pattern of dominance for the Lima-based side in this pairing [1][2][4].
Historically, matches between these two clubs in the 2026 Liga 1 season have produced exactly three goals in both fixtures, with Alianza Lima winning both, suggesting that markets tied to Huancayo scoring first, winning, or specific goal thresholds outside the 2–1 outcome carry negligible value once the result is confirmed. The 0% YES probability reflects the settled nature of the event, where no unresolved variables remain to shift the line, and past data shows no instances of Huancayo overcoming Alianza Lima in recent seasons [1][4].
Traders should note that the match was not televised due to debt issues, limiting public line-up verification, but the final score and betting odds confirm Alianza Lima’s away win with both teams scoring [5]. No further announcements, suspensions, or injury updates will alter the settlement, as the game ended before the 20 July settlement window, and all odds data from ESPN and SportyTrader confirm the 2–1 result as definitive [1][2].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - More… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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