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Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

SK Brann 3 - 2 Rosenborg BK 100% SK Brann 0 - 0 Rosenborg BK 0% SK Brann 0 - 1 Rosenborg BK 0% SK Brann 1 - 0 Rosenborg BK 0% Volume: $91K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
SK Brann 3 - 2 Rosenborg BK100%
SK Brann 0 - 0 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 0 - 1 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 1 - 0 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 0 - 2 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 1 - 1 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 2 - 0 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 0 - 3 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 1 - 2 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 2 - 1 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 3 - 0 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 1 - 3 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 2 - 2 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 3 - 1 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 2 - 3 Rosenborg BK0%
SK Brann 3 - 3 Rosenborg BK0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

SK Brann’s meeting with Rosenborg BK sits in a rivalry that has often produced tight scorelines, but recent league games have not followed a single pattern. The last five head-to-heads in the sources split into two Brann wins, two draws and one Rosenborg win, including a 1-1 in April 2026, a 0-0 in May 2025 and a 2-3 Brann win in Trondheim in October 2025[2][7]. Longer-run match histories are also close: one head-to-head database has Brann and Rosenborg level on 13 wins each with five draws across 31 meetings, while another shows Rosenborg slightly ahead on 13 wins to Brann’s 11, with five draws[5][14][16]. That balance means the exact-score market usually depends more on current attacking form and team news than on the fixture name alone[1][14].

The main catalysts for a late move are starting line-ups, any late fitness calls, and whether either side is forced into defensive changes that alter game state early. Because exact-score pricing is highly sensitive to the likely margin, even one missing centre-back or forward can shift the most plausible outcomes towards 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 or 2-1 rather than wider scorelines. The most recent published match data before this fixture already shows a low-draw, goal-capable rivalry, so traders will be watching whether pre-match team sheets preserve that profile or suggest a more cautious setup[1][2][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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