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Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Draw 74% SK Brann 20% Rosenborg BK 7% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $283K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw74%
SK Brann20%
Rosenborg BK7%

Market context

Brann host Rosenborg in an Eliteserien meeting that has been close enough historically to keep a 20% yes price live, but recent results lean towards Brann rather than a clean Rosengborg edge. Across the last five head-to-heads, Brann have won four and lost one, with the most recent league game finishing Rosenborg 2-3 Brann in October 2025 and the April 2026 meeting ending 1-1.[1][3] Longer-term records still show balance: FotMob lists the all-time head-to-head at 13 Brann wins, 13 Rosenborg wins and five draws, while BBC’s historical aggregate also shows Rosenborg ahead overall, 28 wins to Brann’s 19 in 62 matches.[5][8]

For traders, the main line-moving catalysts are the starting XIs, any late injury or suspension news, and whether either side rotates after a congested summer schedule. The market will react most sharply if Brann’s recent attacking trend holds — they have scored three or more in several of the recent meetings — or if Rosenborg can translate their stronger historical record into a more controlled away setup.[3][10] With the settlement window tied to kickoff, late club team-sheet announcements and credible local team-news reports are the key dependency to watch, because a missing first-choice forward or centre-back matters more here than the broad historical split.[3][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 74% for "Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK".

Draw 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $211K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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