Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | 24% |
| O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Inter Miami CF (-2.5) | 5% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 1% |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 1% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
Market context
Inter Miami CF’s meeting with Columbus Crew arrives with the market leaning to a relatively modest **26% YES** on “More Markets”, despite a fixture that has often produced traffic in both penalty areas. Inter Miami have had the better of the head-to-head overall, with six wins to Columbus’s three and two draws in one feed, while ESPN’s recent results show Miami taking each of the last three league meetings, including a 5-1 home win in May 2025 and a 1-0 away win in April 2025.[2][1][3] That history matters because these sides have repeatedly delivered narrow margins rather than routine stalemates: ESPN’s 2024–25 sequence includes 3-2, 2-1 and 1-0 scorelines, which is the sort of profile that can keep secondary markets alive even when the outright looks one-sided.[1][17][12]
The near-term catalysts are lineup availability and how both clubs manage the calendar around an August 1 kick-off. Columbus’s recent league form has been more restrained, with FotMob and AIscore both showing a run of low-defeat, draw-heavy results, while Miami’s recent scoring output has been stronger, including 11 goals in their last five matches on FotMob’s tracker.[2][3] Traders should watch final team news, late rest decisions and any absence updates on the attacking core, because those are the variables most likely to shift the number of shots, corners, cards and goals-related derivatives that sit inside “More Markets”. ESPN listed the match as a regular-season fixture at Miami’s home ground, and the same matchup has tended to swing sharply on whether Miami can field its preferred front line.[1][12]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew - More … on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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