Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| D.C. United SC | 0% |
| Nashville SC | 0% |
Market context
D.C. United v Nashville SC is a regular-season MLS match at Audi Field, with the market currently pricing the D.C. United win side at 0% despite the clubs’ recent meetings being comparatively tight. Nashville have generally held the historical edge, leading the all-time regular-season series 2-5-4 from D.C. United’s perspective, but the last two league meetings were both draws after D.C. led 2-0 in Nashville in May 2026 and the sides had traded one-goal wins in 2024. That mix matters because the head-to-head record favours Nashville, yet the recent scorelines show D.C. have been capable of matching them for long stretches.[5][15]
The main trader watchpoints are line-up availability and whether Nashville can end a run of low scoring output. D.C. entered the fixture having taken at least a point in nine of their last ten league matches and coming off a 2-1 home win over Toronto FC, with Tai Baribo on a three-match scoring run and eight-plus goals for the season, while Nashville arrived after a 1-0 loss at Orlando City and had not scored more than once in a match since 23 May, according to D.C.’s match preview.[15] D.C. also noted that this was the second of two regular-season meetings, so any late injury or suspension news, rotation from fixture congestion, or changes to D.C.’s home form would be the clearest catalysts for a move away from the current 0% line.[15][4]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $178K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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