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Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Draw 100% D.C. United SC 0% Nashville SC 0% Volume: $178K Liquidity: $493K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
D.C. United SC0%
Nashville SC0%

Market context

D.C. United v Nashville SC is a regular-season MLS match at Audi Field, with the market currently pricing the D.C. United win side at 0% despite the clubs’ recent meetings being comparatively tight. Nashville have generally held the historical edge, leading the all-time regular-season series 2-5-4 from D.C. United’s perspective, but the last two league meetings were both draws after D.C. led 2-0 in Nashville in May 2026 and the sides had traded one-goal wins in 2024. That mix matters because the head-to-head record favours Nashville, yet the recent scorelines show D.C. have been capable of matching them for long stretches.[5][15]

The main trader watchpoints are line-up availability and whether Nashville can end a run of low scoring output. D.C. entered the fixture having taken at least a point in nine of their last ten league matches and coming off a 2-1 home win over Toronto FC, with Tai Baribo on a three-match scoring run and eight-plus goals for the season, while Nashville arrived after a 1-0 loss at Orlando City and had not scored more than once in a match since 23 May, according to D.C.’s match preview.[15] D.C. also noted that this was the second of two regular-season meetings, so any late injury or suspension news, rotation from fixture congestion, or changes to D.C.’s home form would be the clearest catalysts for a move away from the current 0% line.[15][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $178K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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