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Pronóstico: Austin FC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets

"Pronóstico: Austin FC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% FC Dallas O/U 0.5 100% FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $752K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Austin FC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Dallas O/U 0.5100%
FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.580%
FC Dallas O/U 1.556%
Both Teams to Score53%
Austin FC O/U 0.553%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Austin FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Austin FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC Dallas 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC Dallas 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 2.547%
FC Dallas (-1.5)34%
O/U 3.520%
FC Dallas O/U 2.520%
Austin FC O/U 1.517%
FC Dallas (-2.5)12%
O/U 4.56%
Austin FC O/U 2.54%
Austin FC (-1.5)2%
Austin FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Austin FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Austin FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Austin FC and FC Dallas meet in an MLS regular-season fixture on 16 August at 8:30 PM ET, with settlement contingent on additional market offerings becoming available by the close window. The 2% implied probability reflects extreme scarcity: such markets typically resolve YES only when sportsbooks or the league operator formally list secondary wagering options (goal-scorer props, corner totals, card counts) tied to the match. Historical precedent shows these supplementary markets materialise in roughly 15–20% of regular-season MLS games, concentrated around marquee fixtures or high-profile derbies rather than mid-table regional contests.

Austin and Dallas occupy middling positions in the Western Conference standings, neither commanding the broadcast prominence that triggers extended betting menus. Recent form tilts slightly toward Austin, who've won two of their last four league outings, whilst Dallas have managed one victory in the same span. Injury reports and squad rotation decisions closer to match day will influence whether either club fields a competitive eleven, potentially affecting bookmaker appetite for granular betting products. MLS injury bulletins typically release 48–72 hours before kick-off; traders should monitor official team announcements and beat reporters covering both franchises for late-breaking roster news that might prompt sportsbooks to expand their offering.

The settlement mechanism hinges entirely on third-party market availability rather than on-field performance. Traders should track whether competing platforms (DraftKings, FanDuel, ESPN BET) announce Austin–Dallas props by 15 August; absence of such listings by that date would signal minimal probability of a YES resolution.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Austin FC vs. FC Dallas - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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