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Pronóstico: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Football snapshot for "Pronóstico: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% O/U 7.5 54% Spread -1.5 53% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.574%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
O/U 7.554%
Spread -1.553%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.548%
O/U 8.546%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.546%
Spread -2.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
O/U 9.537%
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies31%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.527%
Spread -1.522%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.514%
Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to pronóstico: miami marlins vs. philadelphia phillies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 17 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% for "Pronóstico: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $85K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Trade Pronóstico: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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