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Pronóstico: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies

"Pronóstico: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 73% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 67% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 62% Volume: $128K Liquidity: $208K Closes: 17 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.567%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.562%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.559%
O/U 7.554%
Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 8.546%
Spread -2.538%
O/U 9.536%
NRFI34%
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies33%
Spread -1.523%
Spread -2.517%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to pronóstico: houston astros vs. philadelphia phillies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 10 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "Pronóstico: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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