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Pronóstico: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 84% Game 1 Winner 76% Game 2 Winner 76% First Blood in Game 1? 64% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $273K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner84%
Game 1 Winner76%
Game 2 Winner76%
First Blood in Game 1?64%
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)62%
First Blood in Game 2?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
O/U 2.5 Games36%
Any Player Quadra Kill35%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 84% probability to pronóstico: lol: ninjas in pyjamas vs lng esports (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 15 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas"…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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