Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Maryville University and CCG Esports are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three North American Challengers League group-stage series, with the market currently pricing a Maryville win at 100% in crowd terms. That kind of certainty is usually only justified when the field has already shown a clear edge or when the market is effectively reflecting a settled result rather than live uncertainty; the pair’s last recorded meeting ended 2-0 to Maryville on 29 April 2026, which is the main head-to-head datapoint available here.[2][6][8][13]
Recent form data gives Maryville the stronger profile, with results including wins over Citadel Gaming, Dorado Gaming, Blue Otter and ConViction, interrupted by a loss to NRG.[2] CCG’s recent sequence is less stable, mixing wins over Blue Otter, Supernova and Apex Mission Impossible with losses to ConViction and Winthrop University.[2] Rosters listed in current match pages show Maryville fielding Yuuji, Keii, ScaryJerry, Spirax and Obstinatus, while CCG’s listed starters include Aojune, Fiji, Cody Sun, Dardoch and Only35, so any late substitute or role swap would be the most immediate line-moving catalyst.[2][4][17]
For traders, the key checks are whether the fixture is actually played on schedule and whether either team posts a line-up change before draft, since a no-show, postponement beyond seven days, or a cancellation would alter settlement sharply under the market rules. The event is still listed across live-score and odds pages for 6 August, which supports the expectation that it should go ahead unless a late schedule update appears.[1][4][5][9][12]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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