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Pronóstico: LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

"Pronóstico: LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 85% Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 74% Game 2 Winner 66% Volume: $248K Liquidity: $399K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner85%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)74%
Game 2 Winner66%
Game 4 Winner63%
Game 3 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
O/U 3.5 Games55%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)47%
O/U 4.5 Games19%
First Blood in Game 1?5%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: lol: los vs furia esports (bo5) - cblol playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinals 2 match between LOS and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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