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Pronóstico: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 3.5 Games 67% Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) 55% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 55% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $158K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
First Blood in Game 3?48%
Game 4 Winner42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
Game 2 Winner37%
Game 1 Winner36%
Game 3 Winner36%
O/U 4.5 Games31%
Match Winner28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: lol: edward gaming vs ninjas in pyjamas (bo5) - lpl knights rivals stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Knights Rivals, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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