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Pronóstico: LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

"Pronóstico: LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

First Blood in Game 2? 53% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 53% Game 2 Winner 51% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 51% Volume: $123K Liquidity: $431K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Game 2 Winner51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Game 1 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Match Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Game Handicap: DIG (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)28%
Any Player Quadra Kill25%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Any Player Penta Kill8%
Any Player Penta Kill8%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 53% YES probability for Pronóstico: LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguis…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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