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Pronóstico: Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Nashville SC 0 - 1 Club León FC 100% Nashville SC 0 - 0 Club León FC 0% Nashville SC 1 - 0 Club León FC 0% Nashville SC 0 - 2 Club León FC 0% Volume: $59K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Nashville SC 0 - 1 Club León FC100%
Nashville SC 0 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 0 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 1 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 0 - 3 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 1 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 0 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 1 - 3 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 1 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 2 - 3 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 2 Club León FC0%
Nashville SC 3 - 3 Club León FC0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Nashville SC meet Club León FC in the Leagues Cup with no prior head-to-head record to anchor a precise exact-score view, which makes the market more dependent on current scoring profiles than on matchup history. The available pre-match data points to Nashville arriving in steadier form, while León’s recent run has been more volatile, with mixed results and fewer clean outcomes across the last few listed fixtures.[11][12][15]

That matters because exact-score markets are usually pulled towards low-frequency scorelines rather than the crowd’s current 0% YES reading, especially when neither side has a long shared sample to shape expectations. Nashville’s recent home results include a run of narrow wins and low-scoring games, while León’s latest matches also include several one-goal margins and a recent 1-0 league win over Pachuca, so the most relevant historical frame is a contest where 1-0, 1-1 and 2-1 type scores are more plausible than a highly specific outlier.[12][13][15]

For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether either side treats the tie as a must-manage fixture in a compressed Leagues Cup schedule. The match is listed for Geodis Park in Nashville, and the final score will be settled only on regulation plus stoppage time, so late tactical conservatism or an early goal can change the score distribution sharply without affecting the settlement rule itself.[4][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Nashville SC vs. Club León FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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