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Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Club Santos Laguna - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Club Santos Laguna - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Chicago Fire FC 3 - 1 Club Santos Laguna 100% Chicago Fire FC 0 - 0 Club Santos Laguna 0% Chicago Fire FC 0 - 1 Club Santos Laguna 0% Chicago Fire FC 1 - 0 Club Santos Laguna 0% Volume: $39K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Club Santos Laguna - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chicago Fire FC 3 - 1 Club Santos Laguna100%
Chicago Fire FC 0 - 0 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 0 - 1 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 1 - 0 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 0 - 2 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 1 - 1 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 2 - 0 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 1 - 2 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 2 - 1 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 3 - 0 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 1 - 3 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 2 - 2 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 2 - 3 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 3 - 2 Club Santos Laguna0%
Chicago Fire FC 3 - 3 Club Santos Laguna0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Chicago Fire FC’s Leagues Cup meeting with Club Santos Laguna is the key event behind this exact-score market, and the current **0% YES** implies the listed scorelines have not been priced in as realistic yet. That fits the broader profile of the fixture: Chicago opened the competition with a 2-0 win over Necaxa, while Santos Laguna lost 2-0 to New York City FC, and LeaguesCup.com noted Santos had not won an official match since 26 April. [11]

The historical frame is thin but still useful. These clubs have only one recorded competitive-style meeting to lean on, a 2-2 friendly in 2012, and LeaguesCup.com said this was their first official contest against each other; recent H2H pages also show Chicago’s latest run as 3 wins and 2 losses, while Santos came in with 1 win and 4 losses across their last five. [10][11] In exact-score terms, that kind of split usually keeps low-scoring home wins, narrow away wins, and draws in play, rather than making any single scoreline dominant. [1][2]

The main catalysts are team news and matchday selection. Chicago’s own match page is the cleanest source for late line-ups, while Santos’ attacking output has been muted in recent results, including a 3-0 defeat to Club América and a 0-1 loss to Atlas in the two league matches before the tournament. [16][1] Traders should also watch for any postponement or weather-related delay, because the market stays open until the match is completed, and the settlement only uses regulation plus stoppage time, not extra time or penalties.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Chicago Fire FC vs. Club Santos Laguna - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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