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Pronóstico: CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

CF América 3 - 1 Portland Timbers 100% CF América 0 - 0 Portland Timbers 0% CF América 0 - 1 Portland Timbers 0% CF América 1 - 0 Portland Timbers 0% Volume: $78K Liquidity: $243K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CF América 3 - 1 Portland Timbers100%
CF América 0 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 0 - 1 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 1 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 0 - 2 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 1 - 1 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 2 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 0 - 3 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 1 - 2 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 2 - 1 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 3 - 0 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 1 - 3 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 2 - 2 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 2 - 3 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 3 - 2 Portland Timbers0%
CF América 3 - 3 Portland Timbers0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Club América’s Leagues Cup meeting with Portland Timbers is a classic exact-score market where the narrow historical edge sits with América, but the draw remains live. Across the last three head-to-heads, América are unbeaten, with one win and two draws, and the aggregate scoreline is only 5-3 in their favour, which points to tight margins rather than a recurring blowout pattern.[1][8][14] The most recent meeting in August 2025 finished 1-1 after 90 minutes before América won on penalties, a useful reminder that this market settles on regulation time only, so shoot-out outcomes do not matter.[11]

Recent form supports a competitive game rather than a one-sided one. Portland entered this fixture with three straight unbeaten results in competitive play, including a 3-1 Leagues Cup win over San Diego and back-to-back MLS victories over Seattle and Real Salt Lake.[13] América also arrived in decent rhythm, with a 3-0 win over Santos Laguna and only one loss in their listed recent sequence, while prior H2H data show both teams have been involved in low-to-mid scoring games in this matchup.[10][14] That combination keeps 1-0, 1-1 and 2-1 scorelines more credible than a long-shot exact score.

The main catalysts are line-up and scheduling news: Leagues Cup rotations, any late absences, and whether either side protects starters for domestic fixtures can move an exact-score market sharply. ESPN’s match listing showed both clubs coming in off busy schedules, with Portland having played on 6 August and América also on the same date in the competition, so fatigue and selection policy are immediate variables.[13] For traders, confirmed starting XIs and any late injury or suspension updates matter more here than broad season-long numbers, because a single attacking change can shift the most likely exact score away from the current crowd-implied 0% YES reading.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: CF América vs. Portland Timbers - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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