Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 5+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ assists | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 100% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ shots on target | 100% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 2+ saves | 100% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 3+ saves | 100% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 4+ saves | 100% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 5+ saves | 100% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Iñaki Williams: 3+ shots | 91% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ shots | 90% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots | 10% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target | 10% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots on target | 10% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 4+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| David Ospina: 2+ saves | 0% |
| David Ospina: 3+ saves | 0% |
| David Ospina: 4+ saves | 0% |
| David Ospina: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: colombia vs. ghana - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Colombia vs. Ghana - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Colombia vs. Ghana - Player Props on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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