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Pronóstico: Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props

"Pronóstico: Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots 100% Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots 100% Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots 100% Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots 100% Volume: $358K Liquidity: $305K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots100%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots100%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots100%
Sadio Mané: 1+ shots100%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots98%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots95%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots90%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots87%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shots76%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots70%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots65%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots62%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots56%
Ismaïla Sarr: 5+ shots55%
Jeremy Doku: 4+ shots55%
Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shots55%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots55%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots54%
Leandro Trossard: 4+ shots54%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots53%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots53%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals + assists53%
Thibaut Courtois: 2+ saves52%
Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots52%
Sadio Mané: 3+ shots52%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots51%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots51%
Sadio Mané: 2+ shots51%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots on target51%
Sadio Mané: 1+ shots on target51%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals + assists51%
Thibaut Courtois: 3+ saves50%
Thibaut Courtois: 4+ saves50%
Thibaut Courtois: 5+ saves50%
Edouard Mendy: 3+ saves50%
Edouard Mendy: 4+ saves50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 5+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 5+ shots50%
Nicolas Jackson: 5+ shots50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots50%
Romelu Lukaku: 5+ shots50%
Sadio Mané: 4+ shots50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots on target50%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots on target50%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 2+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 3+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 4+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 5+ shots50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals + assists50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals + assists50%
Sadio Mané: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assists50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 4+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 5+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ goals49%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ goals49%
Leandro Trossard: 5+ shots49%
Sadio Mané: 5+ shots49%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots on target49%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots on target49%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots on target49%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots on target49%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots on target49%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots49%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals + assists49%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assists49%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists49%
Sadio Mané: 2+ goals + assists49%
Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assists48%
Edouard Mendy: 2+ saves47%
Edouard Mendy: 5+ saves47%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 5+ shots47%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assists47%
Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assists47%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assists47%
Sadio Mané: 4+ goals + assists47%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots45%
Jeremy Doku: 5+ shots38%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals36%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots33%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots28%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goals26%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots26%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goals25%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assists25%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots24%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists24%
Sadio Mané: 3+ goals23%
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shots23%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assists23%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goals18%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals17%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assists17%
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots15%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals14%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals14%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assists14%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals13%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ goals13%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goals13%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals13%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ goals13%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goals13%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ goals13%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 5+ shots13%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assists13%
Sadio Mané: 2+ assists13%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assists13%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ goals12%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots11%
Sadio Mané: 1+ assists11%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals10%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goals10%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals8%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assists7%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals6%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists6%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals5%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ assists5%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals4%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots4%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals2%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals2%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goals2%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals2%
Sadio Mané: 2+ goals2%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals1%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goals1%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ assists1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assists0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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