Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% TEAM VISION |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Match Winner | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% TEAM VISION |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) | 0% TEAM VISION | 100% Virtus.pro |
Market context
Virtus.pro and TEAM VISION are set to clash in the Upper bracket semifinal 2 of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, with the match scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 25 June. The market currently assigns a 0% probability to Virtus.pro winning, suggesting the crowd views TEAM VISION as the overwhelming favourite despite Virtus.pro’s historical pedigree in regional qualifiers.
Historically, 0% probabilities in regional qualifier BO3s have rarely held when the underdog is a former top-tier squad like Virtus.pro, who revamped their roster in March 2025 with TA2000, lorenof, and Daxak[4]. Comparable cases from TI 2022 and TI 2021 show Virtus.pro overcoming similar deficits, including a 2–1 victory against Vici Gaming in a Last Chance Qualifier[2]. The current line appears to ignore Virtus.pro’s sustained success since 2017 and their recent roster stability, which often correlates with late-form surges in high-pressure qualifiers.
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements for any roster changes or suspensions, particularly for Virtus.pro’s active players who joined on 28 March 2025[4]. TEAM VISION’s current 2–0 lead in live stats from the ongoing match suggests momentum, but the BO3 format allows for reversals if Virtus.pro adapts mid-match[1]. Watch for post-game interviews or Liquipedia updates confirming whether the match proceeds as scheduled, as delays beyond seven days would reset the market to 50–50[4]. No external news source has yet confirmed a suspension, but the live score discrepancy remains a key catalyst for line movement.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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