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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

"Pronóstico: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 82% Game 2 Winner 75% Game 1 Winner 74% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 59% Volume: $153K Liquidity: $674K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 2 Winner75%
Game 1 Winner74%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?59%
First Blood in Game 2?57%
Both Teams Beat Roshan56%
Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)55%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Any Player Ultra Kill54%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?54%
Ends in Daytime53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Any Player Rampage51%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?41%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage11%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Iron Wing and GamerLegion in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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