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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

"Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game 1 Winner 100% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Ends in Daytime 90% Match Winner 79% Volume: $490K Liquidity: $756K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Match Winner79%
O/U 2.5 Games52%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner48%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: dota 2: team falcons vs team liquid (bo3) - 1win essence playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 11:00AM ET. This …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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