Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| AC Horsens 0 - 2 Brøndby IF | 100% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
AC Horsens against Brøndby IF has already developed into a fixture with a clear lean towards the visitors. Across the head-to-head records available, Brøndby lead the series and have won the more recent league meetings, with the two most cited live databases showing Brøndby ahead on wins and Horsens trailing on both goals and results in the matchup.[1][8] Recent comparable league results also point in the same direction: Brøndby opened the new Superliga campaign with a win over Viborg and a draw away at AGF, while Horsens came in off a loss at Midtjylland after a 0-0 with Aalborg and a 3-1 win over Hillerød earlier in the 2025-26 run.[6][9]
For an exact-score market, the key reading is that Brøndby’s recent edge has usually translated into narrow-to-moderate wins rather than shootouts. In the most recent published head-to-head set, Brøndby beat Horsens 2-0 in February 2023 and 2-0 again in the June 2023 second-phase meeting, while earlier clashes often settled in one-goal margins.[7][8][13] That makes low-score away wins and a Horsens shutout less likely than the crowd’s current 0% YES implies, but the main question is whether the game stays within Brøndby’s usual control or opens up if Horsens chase the match late.
The main catalysts for traders are team news and the final line-ups, because an exact-score book is highly sensitive to whether Brøndby field a first-choice front line and whether Horsens can keep their defensive spine intact. Pre-match line-up and injury updates on the major live match pages are the most immediate signals to watch, especially if either side rotates from the opening weekend XI or loses a starting defender or goalkeeper.[2][4][5] Any late change to the listed kick-off or completion status also matters, as the market stays open until the match is finished and resolves only on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.[4]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: AC Horsens vs. Brøndby IF - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: AC Horsens vs. Brøndby IF - Exact Score on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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