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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

"Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Winner 47% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $155K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner47%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)44%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)41%
Map 2 Winner40%
Match Winner40%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)35%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)34%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HOTU (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)31%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier prediction market currently prices this outcome at 51% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between HOTU and Astralis in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HOTU" i…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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