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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Fluxo (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Fluxo (+6.5) 100% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $349K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Fluxo (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Fluxo (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)100%
Match Winner83%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-6.5) vs paiN Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-6.5) vs paiN Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Fluxo (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-12.5) vs Fluxo (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-9.5) vs paiN Academy (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Fluxo (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-9.5) vs paiN Academy (+9.5)0%

Market context

Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Fluxo and paiN Academy in the CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 6 at 12:00PM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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