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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 66% Map 2 Winner 64% Map 1 Winner 60% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) 56% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $436K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner66%
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 1 Winner60%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)56%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)46%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.543%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)39%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)38%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 66% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: fut esports vs magic (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between FUT Esports and magic in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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