Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Market context
The Women’s ODI between Ireland and West Indies on 15 July 2026 in Dublin pits two sides with sharply divergent recent trajectories. Ireland, buoyed by their maiden T20 World Cup victory over West Indies in Bristol earlier this year, have shown resilience in qualifiers, defeating Netherlands by 98 runs and securing World Cup qualification via a 62-run win over Thailand [1][3][5]. West Indies, meanwhile, entered the 2026 T20 World Cup with momentum, winning three consecutive games including a 5-wicket triumph over Sri Lanka, yet fell to Ireland in a six-wicket loss that marked Ireland’s first-ever T20WC win against them [5][7].
Historically, Ireland’s 0% crowd-implied probability reflects West Indies’ superior ODI pedigree and Ireland’s vulnerability in 50-over formats despite T20 breakthroughs. Ireland’s 2-1 ODI series win over Sri Lanka in 2024 and 1-1 T20I split on home tour suggest competitiveness, but their ODI record against West Indies remains untested at this level, with no prior bilateral ODI meetings between the women’s sides [7]. The absence of Ava Canning, injured during the T20 World Cup Qualifier, and Aimee Maguire’s suspension for illegal bowling action further weaken Ireland’s bowling depth [2][4].
Traders should monitor Ireland’s official squad announcement for replacement bowlers and West Indies’ ODI lineup, as both teams have not played ODIs since early 2025. Rain delays in Dublin could trigger DLS adjustments, as seen in Ireland’s 1-run DLS win over West Indies in the 2026 Women’s Tri-Series [10]. Key catalysts include pre-match pitch reports, West Indies’ batting form against left-arm spin, and Ireland’s ability to leverage Prendergast’s all-round impact, which proved decisive in their T20WC upset [5].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $241K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women… on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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