Pronóstico: ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Bangladesh

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The women’s cricket match between India and Bangladesh at Old Trafford on 25 June 2026 is the real-world event underpinning this prediction market, with India’s overwhelming dominance reflected in the current 0% crowd-implied probability for Bangladesh winning. Historical head-to-head data shows India has never lost to Bangladesh in women’s T20 internationals, including a 10-wicket victory in the 2024 Asia Cup semi-final where India scored 83/0 while restricting Bangladesh to 80/8[1]. Even in a rain-affected ICC Women’s Cricket World Cup encounter where Bangladesh posted 119/9, the match ended with no result as India had only scored 57/0, underscoring India’s ability to control outcomes regardless of conditions[2].

Traders should monitor pre-match squad announcements, particularly any injury updates to India’s key players like Harmanpreet Kaur or Shreyanka, as well as Bangladesh’s recent T20 form ahead of their upcoming series against New Zealand’s women’s team[5]. The match’s resolution depends on finalized results published by espncricinfo.com, with DLS, Super Overs, or forfeits treated as ordinary wins[8]. Recent commentary from the 2025 World Cup highlights Bangladesh’s reliance on batters like Sharmin Akhter and Sobhana Mostary, who have shown resilience under pressure, though India’s recent 53-run DLS victory over New Zealand demonstrates their capacity to capitalise on such scenarios[4]. No major suspensions have been reported, but weather conditions at Old Trafford could influence the final outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.