Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 55% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London host Trent Rockets in the Women’s Hundred at the Oval, with the market currently pricing a London win at virtually nothing. The table gap explains that view: Trent Rockets arrive top or close to it with five wins from six and a strong net run rate, while MI London have been stuck near the bottom with only one win, several losses and a negative NRR that makes every failure to post a competitive total more costly.[1][2]
Recent head-to-heads do give MI London a small historical foothold, but not enough to outweigh the present mismatch. ESPN’s results page shows MI London have won four of the last five completed meetings, including tight chases and low-margin finishes, yet Trent Rockets have taken the most recent encounter and have generally been the more reliable batting side this season.[2] The key read for traders is that past dominance has not translated into current control: Rockets’ stronger run rate, deeper top order and more consistent bowling have been the clearer predictors in 2026.[1][2]
The main catalysts are team news and toss-dependent conditions at the Oval. Crickbuzz reported Trent Rockets won the toss and chose to bowl, which increases the importance of whether MI London can survive the powerplay and set a defendable target.[10] Recent reporting has also highlighted Trent Rockets’ form through Beth Mooney’s run scoring and Ashleigh Gardner’s all-round impact, while MI London have depended heavily on players such as Hayley Matthews and Amelia Kerr without enough support around them.[1][6][7] Any late changes to those core names, or another collapse in MI London’s batting, would move this market more than the pre-match record books.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $109K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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