Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Birmingham Phoenix will face Trent Rockets in a women's Hundred match on 24 July 2026, with the fixture forming part of the tournament's group stage. The current 0% implied probability for a Phoenix victory suggests either heavy backing for Rockets or significant uncertainty around team availability closer to the match date.
The Hundred women's competition has historically produced tight contests between regional rivals, with results often determined by squad depth and form in the weeks preceding July. Trent Rockets have established themselves as consistent performers in recent seasons, whilst Birmingham Phoenix's trajectory has been more variable. Head-to-head records in this format carry limited predictive weight given squad rotation and injury turnover, but Rockets' recent domestic T20 performances and retention of key all-rounders typically inform market positioning. A 0% probability for Phoenix suggests the market has already priced in either a Rockets advantage or pending team news that hasn't yet reached public confirmation.
Traders should monitor official squad announcements from both franchises, expected in late June 2026, as international player availability and late injuries frequently reshape Hundred odds. England's schedule in the weeks before the tournament, particularly any bilateral series or multi-format commitments, will influence which players are rested or unavailable. Trent Rockets' recent recruitment decisions and Birmingham Phoenix's winter recruitment activity will become clearer through January–March 2026. The settlement window closes on 31 July, allowing time for any weather-affected rescheduling, though the ECB's standard Hundred format typically accommodates reserve days for group matches.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $69K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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