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Pronóstico: The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? 53% The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets 0% The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? 0% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $145K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Completed match?53%
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets0%
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss?0%

Market context

Manchester Super Giants and Trent Rockets meet at Emirates Old Trafford in The Hundred men’s competition, with the market’s 0% YES implying the clash is treated as effectively closed before or during play. The most recent comparable men’s meeting strongly favoured Trent: in August 2025 they beat Manchester by six wickets after restricting them to 137 for 3 and then chasing 140 with Finn Allen unbeaten on 72[1][7].

The longer head-to-head still leans slightly towards Manchester, but the recent trend is more balanced than the historical record suggests. ESPN’s series page lists Manchester with three wins from the last five men’s meetings against Trent, while Trent have won two, including both 2024 and 2025[7]. At the same venue, the available form guide points to a higher-scoring pattern, with Old Trafford’s recent Hundred men’s games averaging 152 in first innings and 122 in second innings, and the side batting first winning 60% of the time[3]. That makes toss and powerplay execution material, especially if the surface plays truer than in lower-scoring chases.

For traders, the key catalysts are line-up confirmation at the toss, any late bowling or top-order absences, and whether either side carries momentum from the first half of the 2026 campaign. Manchester entered 31 July with two wins from three and a strong net run rate, while Trent were also 2-1 but with a lower NRR after a narrow chase against London Spirit and the earlier defeat to Manchester in 2025[7][11]. ESPN’s fixture page and live score listings confirm the match start at 17:30 GMT/18:30 local time, so any team news, injury flags or weather-related delay would have immediate price impact[7][17].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? at 53% for "Pronóstico: The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets".

The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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