Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns | 100% |
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns - Completed match? | 53% |
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns - Who wins the toss? | 1% |
Market context
Guyana Amazon Warriors against San Francisco Unicorns is the Global Super League match in Providence, with the market already implying a completed result rather than an abandonment. San Francisco elected to bat, and live scoring shows 5/0 after 0.4 overs, so the 100% yes price is consistent with a match that has started and is progressing normally rather than being exposed to pre-match cancellation risk.[10][1]
The historical frame favours the Warriors on venue familiarity and tournament continuity. Guyana are the defending GSL champions and have a deeper settled core, while San Francisco are making their first GSL appearance after building a strong T20 franchise profile elsewhere; that gap tends to matter in a short-format event where local conditions and bowling match-ups are decisive.[6][9] Team sheets circulating before the game also point to two line-ups built around all-round depth rather than top-order stability, with Guyana’s squad carrying names such as Imran Tahir, Romario Shepherd and Rahmanullah Gurbaz, and the Unicorns leaning on Hassan Khan, Tim Robinson and Fabian Allen.[2][6]
For traders, the main catalysts are late team confirmation, toss-driven batting conditions, and any injury or withdrawal updates before play resumes or ends. One pre-match report said neither camp had reported injuries, but it also noted that Guyana had already reshaped the squad after Glenn Phillips was ruled out and Amir Jangoo withdrew on international duty, which shows the line-ups can still move if availability changes.[5][6] With the match already under way, the market now hinges more on official completion than on fresh selection news, but DLS interruptions, a shortened chase, or a declared winner under playing conditions would still count as ordinary outcomes for settlement.[12]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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