Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| CD La Equidad Seguros | 88% |
| Draw | 11% |
| Jaguares de Córdoba FC | 1% |
Market context
CD La Equidad Seguros meet Jaguares de Córdoba FC in the Colombia Primera A, with the market pricing a strong home edge at 88% YES. That sits broadly in line with the pre-match numbers, which leaned towards La Equidad as shorter-priced favourites, while the historical scoring profile between these sides has often been tight rather than open: FootyStats shows low-to-moderate goal rates in the fixture and only 38% BTTS across the sample on one H2H page, with another recent preview pricing under 2.5 goals and no-goal combinations as live options.[1][3][7][8]
For traders, the key line-moving inputs are the team sheets and any late absentee news. Recent previews point to La Equidad carrying the stronger home record, while Jaguares’ away form has been weaker, which supports the current favourite price but also leaves room for a narrower game if La Equidad rotate or miss a first-choice defender or striker.[9][6] The most relevant catalysts before kick-off are official line-up announcements, any suspension confirmations, and whether either side rests players after a congested domestic schedule; those items matter more here than broad season averages because the market already bakes in La Equidad’s superior baseline, so late changes would be needed to materially move an 88% implied probability.[2][16]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $126K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: CD La Equidad Seguros vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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