Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Dalian Yingbo face Liaoning Tieren in the Chinese Super League, and the market is being priced off a fairly tight recent head-to-head rather than a one-sided historical edge. Dalian have won two of the last three meetings, including a 1-0 away win in April 2026, while the broader three-match sample is low-margin with five Dalian goals to four for Liaoning. Recent form is mixed on both sides: Dalian have taken points in their last two league outings but have conceded in four straight, while Liaoning’s recent league run includes a 3-1 win over Shanghai Shenhua and a 0-1 home loss to Qingdao West Coast.[3][4][5][13]
For a “more markets” position, the key read is that neither side has been consistently suppressing chances. Liaoning’s last five league games have produced 3.4 goals per match, and every listed head-to-head meeting has gone over the goals line in the available data, which helps explain why a 0% YES price can persist if the contract is tied to a niche outcome rather than the match result itself.[1][3][4] The main catalysts to watch are confirmed starting XIs, because any late change to Dalian’s front line or Liaoning’s defensive unit materially shifts the profile of this fixture; the most recent match listings do not show a published injury or suspension update, so traders are left to line-up announcements and same-day team news before the 11:35 UTC settlement window.[4][9][11]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC … on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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